One metro. Every angle. Once a month.

You pick a metro and we take it apart: forecasts with ranges, how our view changed since last month, the data behind the call, the ZIP codes pulling ahead or falling behind, and our graded track record in that market.

Miami, FL, September 2026: StrengtheningMiami prices are turning up after a flat year. Inventory sits 14% below last year and pending sales are rising, but homes take 51 days to sell and close at 95.7% of list. We expect +0.4% in September and +0.7% by December, with a flat 12-month view.Read the free Miami issue →

What's in every issue

1. The call

A one-paragraph verdict and an outlook label set by a fixed, published rule.

2. Forecast and revision

Next-month, 3-month and 12-month forecasts with 80% ranges, and how each moved since last month.

3. Historical analogs

The metro's closest past setups, what prices did next, and the national base rate.

4. Drivers

The data behind each part of the opportunity score, and the signals that moved this month's forecast.

5. Peer metros

The five most similar large metros, side by side.

6. ZIP divergence

ZIPs pulling ahead of the metro and ZIPs falling behind, with that ranking's own test record.

7. Accuracy check

Our backtest error in this metro, and our live misses next to Zillow's.

8. What changes the call

Checkable triggers with today's values, plus the risks they miss.

Each issue also carries investor and agent notes and a one-page tear sheet you can forward.

The track record

We grade our forecasts and Zillow's against the same new data every month, measuring only the one-month move so neither side gets credit or blame for Zillow's revisions to history.

Forecast month	Our median miss	Zillow's	No-change forecast	Metros we called closer
June 2026	0.095%	0.093%	0.196%	410 of 894
July 2026	0.099%	0.093%	0.208%	409 of 894
August 2026	0.087%	0.091%	0.234%	469 of 894

We had the smaller median miss in 1 of 3 graded months. Both engines beat a forecast of zero change in every graded month. The full record, including months we lost, lives on the accuracy ledger.

In Miami, a replay of the last 15 months puts the current model's median next-month miss at 0.032%, better than 96% of metros. In 23 years of Miami data, the top 20% of ZIPs our ranking flagged beat the metro over the next year 80% of the time. In 2022, that fell to 43%, and every issue shows its metro's worst year too.

How it works

Join the waiting list and name the metro you want covered.
Once subscriptions open, each one covers one metro for $19.90 a month.
Every month we email you that metro's deep dive as a PDF, in the days after Zillow releases new data.

Subscription

A subscription will cost $19.90 a month and cover one metro, with a new issue emailed to you as a PDF each month. We haven't opened subscriptions yet; we'll launch once enough readers ask for their metro. In the meantime we grade our forecasts against Zillow's every month in the open, so you can check our record first.

Questions

Which metros can I choose?: Any of the 894 metros we forecast. Metros with few ZIP codes get a shorter ZIP section, and the issue says so.
What are the subscription terms?: We'll post the full terms when subscriptions open.
Is this investment advice?: No. Every figure is a statistical estimate from public data. The outlook label describes the market; we make no buy or sell recommendations.
When do subscriptions open?: Once enough readers ask for their metro. Join the waiting list and we'll email you when they open. Our public scorecard shows how our forecasts compare with Zillow's in the meantime.

Waiting list

Tell us your metro and we'll email you when subscriptions open.

We'll only email you about Deep Dive subscriptions. Unsubscribe anytime.