Where US home values are headed
Sialim forecasts the typical home value for 894 US metros at three horizons: next month, next quarter, and one year out, using 26 years of Zillow price history plus mortgage rates, for-sale inventory, and labor data. Every forecast is backtested and shows its own accuracy. Each dot below is a metro, scored 0–100 on forecast appreciation, price stability, affordability, labor trend, and inventory pressure. Current forecast month: August 2026. Zillow publishes each month's home value data in the middle of the following month; forecasts here roll forward within a day of each release, and a August 2026 forecast stays a live, ungraded prediction until that month's data arrives.
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Strongest — August 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-month change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centralia, IL | $126,376 | $129,291 | +2.31% | Neutral |
| Worthington, MN | $246,974 | $252,023 | +2.04% | Neutral |
| Bedford, IN | $210,504 | $214,318 | +1.81% | Neutral |
| Kankakee, IL | $228,871 | $232,740 | +1.69% | Stabilizing |
| Sweetwater, TX | $121,394 | $123,309 | +1.58% | Neutral |
| Palestine, TX | $219,525 | $222,958 | +1.56% | Stabilizing |
| Klamath Falls, OR | $312,655 | $317,535 | +1.56% | Neutral |
| Pecos, TX | $178,053 | $180,769 | +1.52% | Neutral |
| Dubuque, IA | $281,598 | $285,488 | +1.38% | Overheating |
| Mexico, MO | $191,509 | $194,072 | +1.34% | Cooling |
Weakest — August 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-month change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Grande City, TX | $142,433 | $137,015 | -3.80% | Neutral |
| Roanoke Rapids, NC | $107,250 | $104,288 | -2.76% | Neutral |
| Raymondville, TX | $179,398 | $175,609 | -2.11% | Neutral |
| Bennington, VT | $385,604 | $377,777 | -2.03% | Stabilizing |
| Lumberton, NC | $136,888 | $134,283 | -1.90% | Neutral |
| Cleveland, MS | $117,055 | $115,139 | -1.64% | Neutral |
| Natchitoches, LA | $178,936 | $176,166 | -1.55% | Cooling |
| Eagle Pass, TX | $222,307 | $219,394 | -1.31% | Neutral |
| Grenada, MS | $129,108 | $127,444 | -1.29% | Cooling |
| Silver City, NM | $185,677 | $183,503 | -1.17% | Neutral |
Highest opportunity scores — August 2026
| # | Metro | Score | Forecast next month |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwalk, OH | 84.4 | +0.84% |
| 2 | Portsmouth, OH | 83 | +1.12% |
| 3 | Indiana, PA | 82.4 | +0.65% |
| 4 | Iowa City, IA | 81.5 | +0.90% |
| 5 | Salem, OH | 81.1 | +0.46% |
| 6 | Logansport, IN | 81 | +0.61% |
| 7 | Muscatine, IA | 80.6 | +0.36% |
| 8 | Wabash, IN | 80.6 | +0.47% |
| 9 | Elmira, NY | 80.5 | +0.61% |
| 10 | Erie, PA | 80.4 | +0.46% |
Scores are percentile blends across 854 mapped metros: forecast appreciation 35%, price stability 15%, affordability 20%, state labor trend 15%, inventory pressure 15%. Descriptive rankings, not investment advice. Method details on the methodology page.
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Largest 30 metros — August 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-month change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York, NY | $737,078 | $740,484 | +0.46% | Overheating |
| Los Angeles, CA | $964,934 | $965,995 | +0.11% | Cooling |
| Chicago, IL | $360,262 | $361,944 | +0.47% | Overheating |
| Dallas, TX | $364,793 | $364,442 | -0.10% | Cooling |
| Houston, TX | $307,772 | $307,132 | -0.21% | Neutral |
| Washington, DC | $579,812 | $580,438 | +0.11% | Cooling |
| Philadelphia, PA | $392,329 | $393,326 | +0.25% | Neutral |
| Miami, FL | $477,769 | $478,581 | +0.17% | Stabilizing |
| Atlanta, GA | $381,872 | $381,662 | -0.06% | Neutral |
| Boston, MA | $742,341 | $743,848 | +0.20% | Stabilizing |
| Phoenix, AZ | $445,924 | $445,170 | -0.17% | Neutral |
| San Francisco, CA | $1,136,810 | $1,141,107 | +0.38% | Neutral |
| Riverside, CA | $586,798 | $586,657 | -0.02% | Stabilizing |
| Detroit, MI | $270,370 | $270,743 | +0.14% | Cooling |
| Seattle, WA | $740,579 | $740,365 | -0.03% | Cooling |
| Minneapolis, MN | $394,711 | $395,181 | +0.12% | Cooling |
| San Diego, CA | $934,166 | $935,296 | +0.12% | Cooling |
| Tampa, FL | $361,634 | $361,558 | -0.02% | Neutral |
| Denver, CO | $566,529 | $567,106 | +0.10% | Cooling |
| Baltimore, MD | $405,069 | $405,150 | +0.02% | Cooling |
| St. Louis, MO | $277,434 | $278,374 | +0.34% | Neutral |
| Orlando, FL | $386,867 | $386,403 | -0.12% | Neutral |
| Charlotte, NC | $388,736 | $387,881 | -0.22% | Cooling |
| San Antonio, TX | $279,434 | $279,064 | -0.13% | Neutral |
| Portland, OR | $549,241 | $549,779 | +0.10% | Cooling |
| Sacramento, CA | $581,822 | $582,358 | +0.09% | Cooling |
| Pittsburgh, PA | $231,708 | $231,833 | +0.05% | Cooling |
| Cincinnati, OH | $311,116 | $311,533 | +0.13% | Stabilizing |
| Austin, TX | $424,339 | $423,732 | -0.14% | Cooling |
| Las Vegas, NV | $429,591 | $428,178 | -0.33% | Neutral |