SIALIMStatistical Intelligence for America's Local Investment Markets

Rock Springs, WY Housing Market Forecast — September 2026

Typical home value $291,984 as of August 2026 · Recovering

Next month — September 2026
$291,695
-0.10% · range $291,222–$292,154
Quarter — December 2026
$291,660
-0.11% · range $289,677–$294,104
One year — September 2027
$290,888
-0.38% · range $284,910–$298,131
Backtest error
0.6%
avg miss, last 6 months

Blue: typical Rock Springs home value (Zillow ZHVI, smoothed and seasonally adjusted), last 10 years. Amber dash: forecast path through September 2027; dotted lines mark the 80% confidence range, which widens with the horizon.

Why the model sees it this way

Sialim's model forecasts the typical Rock Springs home value will hold near flat in September 2026, from $291,984 to about $291,695. The 80% confidence range runs from $291,222 to $292,154.

Prices rose an average of 0.18% per month over the past three months, and the market is down 0.7% from a year ago.

The 30-year mortgage rate sits near 6.7% (restrictive for affordability); for-sale inventory is about even with a year ago (+8%); national unemployment is 4.1%. For this metro the price-only model outperformed the macro-augmented one in backtesting, so the forecast leans on the price trend itself.

Over the most recent six-month test window, this model's predictions for Rock Springs were off by 0.6% on average. Smaller is better; anything under 1% is strong for monthly home values.

How this compares with Zillow's forecast

HorizonSialimZillow's forecast
Next month-0.10%-0.10%
Three months-0.11%+0.30%
Twelve months-0.38%+2.00%

The two forecasts disagree on Rock Springs's twelve-month direction. Sialim projects -0.38%; Zillow's published forecast shows +2.00%. Disagreements like this get graded here as actuals arrive. Zillow forecast © Zillow, shown for comparison; horizons are aligned to the nearest published month. Agreement or disagreement between the two models is a useful signal either way.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Rock Springs home value forecast for September 2026?

$291,695, a -0.10% change from the latest value of $291,984. The 80% confidence range is $291,222 to $292,154.

Is the Rock Springs housing market cooling or heating up?

Sialim classifies Rock Springs as "Recovering". Prices are turning up after a weak stretch.

What is the Rock Springs home price forecast for 2027?

Sialim's model projects $290,888 by September 2027, a -0.38% change from today's $291,984. The 80% range is $284,910 to $298,131; year-ahead forecasts carry much wider uncertainty than next-month calls.

How accurate is this forecast?

Over the most recent six-month test window, this model's Rock Springs predictions were off by 0.6% on average.

Model details

Forecasts come from Sialim's proprietary forecasting engine, which runs several competing model specifications for every metro, backtests them against what actually happened, and publishes the winner for each horizon. Trained on 176 monthly observations (2012-01-31 to 2026-08-31). This metro's market heat index reads 47, with 0.2% of listings showing a price cut. See the methodology for how forecasts are built, and the ZHVI guide for what the underlying index measures.

Forecasts are model output, not advice. Data: Zillow ZHVI (© Zillow), Freddie Mac via FRED, US Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED.